What is Nostr?
vnprc /
npub16vz…mhgd
2024-10-22 19:20:12
in reply to nevent1q…6fen

vnprc on Nostr: This graph is drawn from the context of a newly accepted share submitted to the pool ...

This graph is drawn from the context of a newly accepted share submitted to the pool at time 0. The share is worthless at first but it has an expected future value that can be calculated by comparing the expected rate that the pool finds blocks to the 'accrual period' or 'swap window' for this share. I need to hammer out the terminology still.

Whenever the pool finds a block this share is entitled to some of the block reward for that block. This is calculated by dividing the coinbase reward amount by the total number of shares for which this block is in their swap window. Basically how many outstanding shares are there with a red step function still above 0.

In this graph the share in question scores three blocks so the 'realized value' as the pool calculates it jumps up three times before the swap window closes.

If the owner of this ehash token (let's keep it simple and assume no swaps have taken place) redeems it early at any point they can claim the value of the green line at that time.

Of course the default play is to hold it to maturity. But what if they sold it for a premium right after the 3rd block was found? In other words, what if someone pays slightly more than the green line to buy this mining share? That would be a winning trade for the seller because we can see the future. If another block landed in the 21st epoch it might be a winning trade for the buyer.

Hashpool enables a class of professional traders to develop who will create a super efficient hashrate market. Efficient markets lead to prosperity and human flourishing. Let's fucking go!
Author Public Key
npub16vzjeglr653mrmyqvu0trwaq29az753wr9th3hyrm5p63kz2zu8qzumhgd