Dale Forrest on Nostr: lol the polls are wrong, yes. the polls are left biased. so it's actually better. no. ...

lol
the polls are wrong, yes. the polls are left biased. so it's actually better.

no. polymarket is not a predictor. it is a gambling site and now that the whole Kamala Harris loss/Trump win was 'predicted' by it, it too is not reliable.

you don't think a bunch of Liberals will go on there now that they have seen what happened in the US to make it look a certain way? think about it. manipulation is the LPC game.

Making it look bad for Conservatives causes demoralization and less Conservative voting and less people in the middle to vote Conservative.

you aren't wrong about the polls but the reason why they are biased is that they oversample Liberals (and to some degree, the NDP) they have always been like that. and, a poll moving in a direction is an indicator.

Conservatives are less likely to take a poll (we never answer them at this house) and activists (Lib/NDP) want to take polls.

what is more indicative is people's sentiments in person and online and they strongly indicate Conservative.

only the election will show the truth.

I'm not predicting anything just paying attention to everything.