RolloTreadway on Nostr: npub1g0tuf…3tvm4 I feel like the political media completely failed to understand ...
npub1g0tuf634rz4suczwj7kgnecr6cyt0eu9xmp3sp0fku68mqehq4msp3tvm4 (npub1g0t…tvm4) I feel like the political media completely failed to understand how the fact of brexit (as in, the act of leaving the EU, as opposed to any wider philosophical and ideological concerns related to it) gave the Tories a huge and decisive number of additional votes in the last three elections.
And even if brexit hadn't worked out quite so badly, it was still a one-time-only deal. As soon as it was taken out of the way - which ended up being the beginning of 2020 - we go back to 'normal' politics: jobs, inflation, healthcare, crime, the usual decisive issues.
There has been a widespread and entirely nonsensical belief amongst the political journalist circle that everyone who voted to leave would feel indebted to the Tories forever, and that voters can be bluntly divided into 'leave and remain' in perpetuity. Electoral politics never works like that. A politician who believes in grateful voters is on a swift journey to the dole.
If it wasn't for the explicitly temporary populist boost of enacting brexit, I think it's highly likely that 1992 would still be the last time the Tories had a majority; the reasons for their relative unpopularity never truly went away, they were just disguised by the passing circumstances.
And even if brexit hadn't worked out quite so badly, it was still a one-time-only deal. As soon as it was taken out of the way - which ended up being the beginning of 2020 - we go back to 'normal' politics: jobs, inflation, healthcare, crime, the usual decisive issues.
There has been a widespread and entirely nonsensical belief amongst the political journalist circle that everyone who voted to leave would feel indebted to the Tories forever, and that voters can be bluntly divided into 'leave and remain' in perpetuity. Electoral politics never works like that. A politician who believes in grateful voters is on a swift journey to the dole.
If it wasn't for the explicitly temporary populist boost of enacting brexit, I think it's highly likely that 1992 would still be the last time the Tories had a majority; the reasons for their relative unpopularity never truly went away, they were just disguised by the passing circumstances.