Ben Curthoys on Nostr: npub14ukaj…s2erc If the false positive rate is 1% but the base rate of actual ...

npub14ukaj9jxt92unn28r7z42n475c7u6typ2cu8wyur4eqrk67tyz9sxs2erc (npub14uk…2erc) If the false positive rate is 1% but the base rate of actual cheaters is only 0.01%, then if you test a population of 10,000 honest students and one cheat, you will get 100 false positives and 1 real positive.

So even given a positive result on "1% false positive test", the odds are 100:1 you're STILL not a cheat.