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bitcoinlimit / ₿itcoin ∞/21m
npub12h3…k3mr
2024-12-23 14:53:06

bitcoinlimit on Nostr: Based on the attached historic data of BTC vs USD Median Home Price: 2012 → 2024 ...

Based on the attached historic data of BTC vs USD Median Home Price:

2012 → 2024 overall factor: 4.3 ÷ 50,616 ≈ 0.000085
Over 12 intervals, that’s a yearly multiplier of √12 ≈ 0.46
i.e. on avg, each year it’s about 46% of the prior year (a 54% drop).

So if we mechanically continue that same avg shrinkage (× 0.46/year) from 2024 onward:

2024: 4.3 BTC
2025: 4.3 × 0.46 ≈ 2.0 BTC
2026: 2.0 × 0.46 ≈ 0.92 BTC
2027: 0.92 × 0.46 ≈ 0.42 BTC
2028: 0.42 × 0.46 ≈ 0.19 BTC
2029: 0.19 × 0.46 ≈ 0.087 BTC
2030: 0.087 × 0.46 ≈ 0.040 BTC

I know this looks and sounds crazy but hey, that's what the historic data says.

Author Public Key
npub12h358ejcjpeaxyhu4vcqwhjtg6qndxm9gk007d48utlylzq2e5dsdmk3mr